Will China take the rest of the world
out of poverty?
Part 1.
By TUBS [CC-BY-SA-3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0) or GFDL (http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html)], via Wikimedia Commons |
According to the U.S. Energy
Information Administration, China's largest oil fields, upon which they have
been relying since the 1960's, have reached peak production in the past few
years. Anticipating the fact that these
mature fields will be unable to support the rapid increase in oil demand, China
has been increasingly importing its oil from abroad. Crude imports now account for over half of
China's annual oil consumption. As of
2009, China is the second-largest importer of oil, trailing only the United States.
Securing oil from abroad has proven
to be relatively easy for the Chinese, especially with their implementation of
the so-called oil-for-loan deals, which have been made with Ghana, Angola,
Bolivia, Ecuador, Venezuela, Kazakhstan, and others. These deals essentially trade oil for access
to Chinese investment dollars.
Another method of accessing imported
oil is through pipelines, which China currently uses to get oil from Russia and
Kazakhstan, and will in the near future through Burma. These pipeline projects require international
teams and vast investment capital to complete, and create an entire
infrastructure around them in order to be maintained into the future.
Given the vast amounts of capital
delivered through the oil-for-loan deals and pipeline construction projects,
many nations stand to profit a great deal from China's incredible rise to
economic dominance. Because of Chinese
investment dollars, it is now possible for third world countries to build an
infrastructure capable of sustaining long term development which, in theory,
would take them out of poverty and into the 1st world.
While China certainly benefits from
the increases in oil imports from abroad, the countries doing the importing
stand to gain quite a bit themselves, if they handle the investment capital
carefully, and ensure that is their workers, and not the Chinese, who are being
educated to work in the developing industries.
For if all of the majority stake holders and all of the skilled laborers
within the developing industries within a country are of Chinese background,
that country stands to lose its status as autonomous, and instead becomes a
true puppet.
Part two, soon to follow, will
discuss how a country should properly use Chinese investment capital to guarantee
its future success.
Zachary James
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